Monsoon rains are likely to be above average across the region, including Bangladesh. This could lead to more rainfall in Indian states upstream of Bangladesh, potentially worsening monsoon flooding. Relief from the heatwaves is expected as El Nino weakens and La Nina strengthens.
Experts believe the ongoing heatwaves, similar to those experienced in the past two years, were caused by El Nino, a weather phenomenon linked to drier conditions in the Indian Ocean and Bay of Bengal. La Nina, El Nino’s opposite, brings wetter conditions. The forum confirmed El Nino’s weakening and La Nina’s activation, suggesting increased rainfall is likely in the near future.
Following the conference, Indian meteorologists predicted a stronger monsoon across most of South Asia, including Bangladesh. Areas previously experiencing extreme heatwaves are expected to see more rain. However, Sylhet and Chattogram, which faced less intense heat, may receive less monsoon rainfall.
The forecast of above-average monsoon rains in Bangladesh offers hope for relief from the recent heatwaves. However, the potential for increased flooding in upstream Indian states remains a concern. As the monsoon season approaches, staying informed about weather updates will be crucial for residents across the region.